Baunatal vs Friedberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Parkstadion, Baunatal
The Footlab model makes Baunatal the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Friedberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baunatal vs Friedberg?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Baunatal (1,767) and Friedberg (1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baunatal have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Friedberg have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Gießen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hadamar(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eddersheim(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hummetroth(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Baunatal win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Friedberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Friedberg 2-6 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Baunatal 4-0 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Baunatal 2-2 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Friedberg 4-1 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Friedberg 2-1 Baunatal | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Baunatal 1-1 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Friedberg vs Baunatal on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baunatal score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Friedberg score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baunatal | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Friedberg | 1.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baunatal sit 16th in Oberliga - Hessen (2 points from 5 matches) and Friedberg sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Friedberg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Baunatal | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baunatal vs Friedberg?
- The Footlab model makes Baunatal the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Friedberg.
- Where and when is Baunatal vs Friedberg played?
- Baunatal vs Friedberg is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Parkstadion, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Fernwaldvs1960 Hanau
- Aug 28, 2026Darmstadt 98 IIvsUnter-Flockenbach
- Aug 29, 2026FC GießenvsVfb Marburg
- Aug 29, 2026HummetrothvsHünfelder SV
- Aug 29, 2026HadamarvsTuBa Pohlheim
- Aug 30, 2026EddersheimvsKassel 2
- Aug 30, 2026KasselvsEintracht Stadtallendorf
- Aug 30, 2026Rot-Weiß WalldorfvsBayern Alzenau