Friedberg vs Fernwald: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Friedberg, Friedberg (Hessen)
The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Friedberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Friedberg vs Fernwald?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Friedberg (1,789) and Fernwald (1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Friedberg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Fernwald have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eddersheim(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hummetroth(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kassel 2(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Friedberg win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Fernwald win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Fernwald 1-1 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Friedberg 2-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Friedberg 1-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Fernwald 1-1 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| May 17, 2024 | Friedberg 3-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Fernwald 4-6 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
How many goals should we expect?
Friedberg score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fernwald score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedberg | 1.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Fernwald | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Friedberg sit 10th in Oberliga - Hessen (8 points from 5 matches) and Fernwald sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Fernwald | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Friedberg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Friedberg vs Fernwald?
- The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Friedberg.
- Where and when is Friedberg vs Fernwald played?
- Friedberg vs Fernwald is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Friedberg, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Bayern AlzenauvsKassel 2
- Feb 20, 2027Eintracht Stadtallendorfvs1960 Hanau
- Feb 20, 2027BaunatalvsRot-Weiß Walldorf
- Feb 20, 2027Hünfelder SVvsFC Gießen
- Feb 20, 2027Darmstadt 98 IIvsHummetroth
- Feb 20, 2027Unter-FlockenbachvsEddersheim
- Feb 20, 2027HadamarvsKassel
- Feb 21, 2027TuBa PohlheimvsVfb Marburg