Friedberg vs Fernwald: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Friedberg, Friedberg (Hessen)
The Footlab AI model makes Friedberg the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Fernwald. The most likely score is 1-1. If Friedberg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,532 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Friedberg vs Fernwald?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Friedberg (1,809) and Fernwald (1,823).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Friedberg vs Fernwald
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Friedberg
Not enough data to predict the Friedberg lineup.
Fernwald
Not enough data to predict the Fernwald lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 02:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Friedberg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fernwald have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Gießen(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hummetroth(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Gießen(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Friedberg wins, 3 draws, 0 Fernwald wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Fernwald 1-1 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Friedberg 2-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Friedberg 1-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Fernwald 1-1 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| May 17, 2024 | Friedberg 3-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Fernwald 4-6 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
How many goals should we expect?
Friedberg score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fernwald score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedberg | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Fernwald | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Friedberg sit 4th in Oberliga - Hessen (21 points from 12 matches) and Fernwald sit 10th (16 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Friedberg | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 21 |
| 10 | Fernwald | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 16 |
A question about Friedberg vs Fernwald?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Friedberg vs Fernwald?
- The Footlab AI model makes Friedberg the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Fernwald.
- Where and when is Friedberg vs Fernwald played?
- Friedberg vs Fernwald is played on February 20, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Friedberg, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Bayern AlzenauvsKassel 2
- Feb 20, 2027Eintracht Stadtallendorfvs1960 Hanau
- Feb 20, 2027BaunatalvsRot-Weiß Walldorf
- Feb 20, 2027Hünfelder SVvsFC Gießen
- Feb 20, 2027Darmstadt 98 IIvsHummetroth
- Feb 20, 2027Unter-FlockenbachvsEddersheim
- Feb 20, 2027HadamarvsKassel
- Feb 21, 2027TuBa PohlheimvsVfb Marburg