TuBa Pohlheim vs Vfb Marburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 22Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Pohlheim-Holzheim, Pohlheim
The Footlab model makes TuBa Pohlheim the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Vfb Marburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TuBa Pohlheim vs Vfb Marburg?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate TuBa Pohlheim (1,818) and Vfb Marburg (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TuBa Pohlheim have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Vfb Marburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kassel(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Fernwald(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hummetroth(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eddersheim(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kassel 2(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 TuBa Pohlheim win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Vfb Marburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Vfb Marburg 1-1 TuBa Pohlheim | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 31, 2025 | TuBa Pohlheim 3-4 Vfb Marburg | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Vfb Marburg vs TuBa Pohlheim on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TuBa Pohlheim score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Vfb Marburg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuBa Pohlheim | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Vfb Marburg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TuBa Pohlheim sit 6th in Oberliga - Hessen (10 points from 5 matches) and Vfb Marburg sit 5th (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vfb Marburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | TuBa Pohlheim | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TuBa Pohlheim vs Vfb Marburg?
- The Footlab model makes TuBa Pohlheim the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Vfb Marburg.
- Where and when is TuBa Pohlheim vs Vfb Marburg played?
- TuBa Pohlheim vs Vfb Marburg is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Pohlheim-Holzheim, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.