Friska Viljor vs Umea FF: prediction and stats
Division 2 - NorrlandNorrland - Relegation RoundKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Skyttis IP konstgräs, Örnsköldsvik
The Footlab model makes Friska Viljor the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Umea FF. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Friska Viljor vs Umea FF?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Friska Viljor (1,478) and Umea FF (1,420).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Friska Viljor have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Umea FF have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Storfors(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fransta(away) | 4-2 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Umeå FC Akademi(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Umea FF(away) | 3-3 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Fransta(away) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | IFK Umeå(home) | 4-0 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Umeå FC Akademi(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Storfors(away) | 1-4 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Friska Viljor(home) | 3-3 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Jun 21, 2026 | IFK Östersund(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norrland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Friska Viljor win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Umea FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Umea FF 3-3 Friska Viljor | Division 2 - Norrland |
| May 17, 2026 | Friska Viljor 1-1 Umea FF | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Umea FF 1-0 Friska Viljor | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Friska Viljor 0-1 Umea FF | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Umea FF 2-1 Friska Viljor | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Friska Viljor 1-2 Umea FF | Division 2 - Norrland |
Last archived meeting: Umea FF vs Friska Viljor on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Friska Viljor score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Umea FF score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friska Viljor | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Umea FF | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Friska Viljor sit 5th in Division 2 - Norrland (12 points from 12 matches) and Umea FF sit 6th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Friska Viljor | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 12 |
| 6 | Umea FF | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Friska Viljor vs Umea FF?
- The Footlab model makes Friska Viljor the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Umea FF.
- Where and when is Friska Viljor vs Umea FF played?
- Friska Viljor vs Umea FF is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Skyttis IP konstgräs, in the Division 2 - Norrland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.