Frýdek-Místek vs Líšeň II: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 14Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Stovky, Frýdek-Místek
The Footlab model makes Frýdek-Místek the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Líšeň II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frýdek-Místek vs Líšeň II?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Frýdek-Místek (1,845) and Líšeň II (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frýdek-Místek have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Líšeň II have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unie Hlubina(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vsetín(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno II(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hranice(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Slovácko II(home) | 0-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hodonín(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Vrchovina(home) | 3-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Tatran Bohunice(away) | 0-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Frýdek-Místek score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Líšeň II score 2.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frýdek-Místek | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Líšeň II | 2.3 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frýdek-Místek sit 7th in 3. liga - MSFL (7 points from 4 matches) and Líšeň II sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Líšeň II | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Frýdek-Místek | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frýdek-Místek vs Líšeň II?
- The Footlab model makes Frýdek-Místek the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Líšeň II.
- Where and when is Frýdek-Místek vs Líšeň II played?
- Frýdek-Místek vs Líšeň II is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stovky, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.