Havířov vs Hodonín: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 14Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:15 AM (UTC)Stadion Dukla, Havířov
The Footlab model makes Hodonín the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Havířov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Havířov vs Hodonín?
Hodonín starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,825 vs 1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havířov have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hodonín have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hranice(away) | 0-6 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karviná II(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Belotin(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vítkovice(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zlín II(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zlín II(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Líšeň II(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bzenec(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blansko(away) | 3-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slovácko II(home) | 1-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
How many goals should we expect?
Havířov score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hodonín score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havířov | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Hodonín | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Havířov sit 16th in 3. liga - MSFL (2 points from 4 matches) and Hodonín sit 13th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hodonín | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 | Havířov | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Havířov vs Hodonín?
- The Footlab model makes Hodonín the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Havířov.
- Where and when is Havířov vs Hodonín played?
- Havířov vs Hodonín is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:15 AM (UTC) at Stadion Dukla, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.