FSV Mainz 05 II vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Bruchweg, Mainz
The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 II the favourite at 37%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 II vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915) and Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. (1,930).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Mainz 05 II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(home) | 3-4 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Havelse(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ZFC Meuselwitz(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 2-1 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 6, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 II 2-2 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 27, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 II 0-1 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 1-0 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 23, 2024 | FSV Mainz 05 II 2-3 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 2-1 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. vs FSV Mainz 05 II on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. score 2.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 II | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 3 matches) and Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 13 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FSV Mainz 05 II vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.?
- The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 II the favourite at 37%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn..
- Where and when is FSV Mainz 05 II vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. played?
- FSV Mainz 05 II vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. is played on May 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Bruchweg, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027VfR AalenvsSV Sandhausen
- May 1, 2027FC 08 HomburgvsSSV Ulm 1846
- May 1, 2027Freiburg IIvsKaiserslautern II
- May 1, 2027Hessen KasselvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- May 1, 2027SGV FreibergvsKickers Offenbach
- May 1, 2027Stuttgarter KickersvsEintracht Trier
- May 1, 2027VfR MannheimvsTSV Steinbach
- May 1, 2027Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsFSV Frankfurt