Where and when is Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Johannisau, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. vs FSV Mainz 05 II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Johannisau, Fulda

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.

FSV Mainz 05 II

The Footlab model makes Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. the favourite at 37%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for FSV Mainz 05 II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. vs FSV Mainz 05 II?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. (1,930) and FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915).

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. win37 %

Draw25 %

FSV Mainz 05 II win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SSV Ulm 1846(away)	2-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026	SV Sandhausen(home)	3-4	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	Eintracht Trier(away)	1-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 31, 2026	Havelse(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	ZFC Meuselwitz(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs

FSV Mainz 05 II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026	FSV Frankfurt(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	FC 08 Homburg(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 22, 2026	Kreuzlingen(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 7, 2026	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 2-1 FSV Mainz 05 II	Regionalliga - SudWest
Sep 6, 2025	FSV Mainz 05 II 2-2 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	Regionalliga - SudWest
Apr 27, 2025	FSV Mainz 05 II 0-1 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	Regionalliga - SudWest
Oct 26, 2024	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 1-0 FSV Mainz 05 II	Regionalliga - SudWest
Mar 23, 2024	FSV Mainz 05 II 2-3 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	Regionalliga - SudWest
Sep 16, 2023	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 2-1 FSV Mainz 05 II	Regionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. vs FSV Mainz 05 II on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	2.0	1.4	4	9/15	9/15
FSV Mainz 05 II	1.4	1.4	4	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. sit 7th in Regionalliga - SudWest (4 points from 3 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	3	1	1	1	6	6	4
13	FSV Mainz 05 II	3	1	0	2	4	6	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. vs FSV Mainz 05 II?: The Footlab model makes Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. the favourite at 37%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for FSV Mainz 05 II.
Where and when is Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?: Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Johannisau, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.