Fügen vs Lochau: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Fügen, Fügen
The Footlab model makes Fügen the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Lochau. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fügen vs Lochau?
Fügen starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,685 vs 1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fügen have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Lochau have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kufstein(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hohenems(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kitzbühel(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaz(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Innsbrucker AC(away) | 3-2 | Landesliga - Tirol |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dornbirn(away) | 0-7 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rheindorf Altach II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kufstein(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hohenems(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Admira Dornbirn(home) | 3-0 | Landesliga - Vorarlbergliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Fügen score 2.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lochau score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fügen | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Lochau | 1.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fügen sit 6th in Regionalliga - West (6 points from 4 matches) and Lochau sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fügen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Lochau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fügen vs Lochau?
- The Footlab model makes Fügen the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Lochau.
- Where and when is Fügen vs Lochau played?
- Fügen vs Lochau is played on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Fügen, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.