SVG Reichenau vs Kitzbühel: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Kunstrasen Reichenau Hauptspielfeld, Innsbruck
The Footlab model makes SVG Reichenau the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Kitzbühel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SVG Reichenau vs Kitzbühel?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate SVG Reichenau (1,626) and Kitzbühel (1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SVG Reichenau have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Kitzbühel have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SK St. Johann(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wolfurt(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Swarovski Tirol II(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Imst(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lauterach(home) | 4-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Röthis(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fügen(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lustenau(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lustenau(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SVG Reichenau win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kitzbühel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | SVG Reichenau 1-0 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Kitzbühel 3-1 SVG Reichenau | Regionalliga - West |
| Apr 6, 2025 | SVG Reichenau 5-1 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Kitzbühel 0-1 SVG Reichenau | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Kitzbühel 0-1 SVG Reichenau | Regionalliga - Tirol |
| Aug 5, 2022 | SVG Reichenau 1-2 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - Tirol |
Last archived meeting: SVG Reichenau vs Kitzbühel on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SVG Reichenau score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kitzbühel score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SVG Reichenau | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Kitzbühel | 2.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SVG Reichenau sit 12th in Regionalliga - West (4 points from 4 matches) and Kitzbühel sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kitzbühel | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 | SVG Reichenau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SVG Reichenau vs Kitzbühel?
- The Footlab model makes SVG Reichenau the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Kitzbühel.
- Where and when is SVG Reichenau vs Kitzbühel played?
- SVG Reichenau vs Kitzbühel is played on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasen Reichenau Hauptspielfeld, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.