Gagra vs Merani Tbilisi: result 1-0 and analysis
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 4Kick-off on March 29, 2018 at 11:00 AM (UTC)David Petriashvili Arena, Tbilisi
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What was the result of Gagra vs Merani Tbilisi?
Gagra won 1-0 on March 29, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 86′N. SpanderashviliGagra
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gagra have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Merani Tbilisi have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2018 | Telavi(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 9, 2018 | Samgurali(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 3, 2018 | Merani Martvili(away) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Tskhinvali(away) | 0-4 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Nov 21, 2017 | Meshakhte(home) | 4-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2018 | Samgurali(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 8, 2018 | Shevardeni 1906(home) | 2-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 2, 2018 | Shukura(away) | 3-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 25, 2012 | Adeli(home) | 5-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 20, 2012 | Chkherimela(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Gagra score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Merani Tbilisi score 2.3 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gagra | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Merani Tbilisi | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy