Gagra vs Saburtalo: result 0-1 and analysis
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on April 19, 2025 at 11:00 AM (UTC)David Petriashvili Arena, Tbilisi
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What was the result of Gagra vs Saburtalo?
Saburtalo won 0-1 on April 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 70′I. SikharulidzeSaburtalo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gagra have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Saburtalo have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2025 | Telavi(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Gareji(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 0-4 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Kolkheti Poti(away) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Samgurali(home) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2025 | Gareji(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Kolkheti Poti(home) | 4-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Samgurali(away) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Dinamo Batumi(home) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gagra win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Saburtalo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | Gagra 1-2 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Saburtalo 1-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 28, 2024 | Gagra 4-0 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Saburtalo 3-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Gagra 2-1 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Saburtalo 5-0 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Gagra score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Saburtalo score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gagra | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Saburtalo | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gagra sit 8th in Erovnuli Liga (24 points from 22 matches) and Saburtalo sit 3rd (34 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Saburtalo | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 34 |
| 8 | Gagra | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy