Gagra vs Tskhinvali: result 1-0 and analysis
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 9Kick-off on April 29, 2017 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadioni Mtskheta Parki, Mtskheta
Full time
What was the result of Gagra vs Tskhinvali?
Gagra won 1-0 on April 29, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 38′Nikoloz KhintibidzeGagra
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gagra have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Tskhinvali have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2017 | Meshakhte(away) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 13, 2017 | Zugdidi(away) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 8, 2017 | Samgurali(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 4, 2017 | Guria(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 31, 2017 | Rustavi(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2017 | Zugdidi(home) | 4-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 12, 2017 | Samgurali(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 8, 2017 | Guria(home) | 4-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 4, 2017 | Rustavi(away) | 1-4 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 31, 2017 | WIT Georgia(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Gagra score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tskhinvali score 1.3 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gagra | 1.5 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Tskhinvali | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy