Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra: prediction and stats
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni, Kutaisi
The Footlab AI model makes Torpedo Kutaisi the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Gagra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torpedo Kutaisi wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,954 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Torpedo Kutaisi (1,666) and Gagra (1,572).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torpedo Kutaisi
4-4-2- 14Felipe Pires
- 9K. Andrić
- 7V. Mamuchashvili
- 35D. Deisadze
- 17N. Lominadze
- 40A. Shulaia
- 22D. Bukia
- 33M. Stamatov
- 24L. Latsabidze
- 15L. Kuprava
- 1O. Goshadze
Gagra
4-1-4-1- 30G. Goshteliani
- 25Wanderson
- 6M. Tsintsadze
- 33L. Gurchiani
- 8I. Skrypnyk
- 10L. Kekelidze
- 40Claudinei
- 7P. Borges
- 14Z. Tchavtchanidze
- 22G. Sadghobelashvili
- 1O. Vorobey
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 12:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torpedo Kutaisi have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gagra have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Meshakhte(away) | 3-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Dila(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Saburtalo(away) | 2-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spaeri(away) | 3-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 2-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Spaeri(away) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi(home) | 1-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Samgurali(away) | 0-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Torpedo Kutaisi wins, 2 draws, 1 Gagra win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Gagra 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 28, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi 1-2 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Gagra 2-2 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Gagra 0-2 Torpedo Kutaisi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
Last archived meeting: Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi on Sep 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torpedo Kutaisi score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gagra score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Kutaisi | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Gagra | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torpedo Kutaisi sit 5th in Erovnuli Liga (43 points from 32 matches) and Gagra sit 9th (31 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 44 | 43 |
| 9 | Gagra | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 28 | 45 | 31 |
A question about Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torpedo Kutaisi the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Gagra.
- Where and when is Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra played?
- Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni, in the Erovnuli Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.