Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on September 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Netherdale Football Ground, Galashiels
The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Gala Fairydean Rovers. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic starts as the favourite with a 252-point Elo edge (1,666 vs 1,414).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gala Fairydean Rovers have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Stranraer(away) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(home) | 3-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rangers U21(home) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linlithgow Rose(away) | 0-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bo'ness United(home) | 1-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Rangers U21(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Annan Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Stirlingshire(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brechin(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Gala Fairydean Rovers win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 4-2 Gala Fairydean Rovers | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Gala Fairydean Rovers 0-3 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Gala Fairydean Rovers 0-3 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Football League - Lowland League |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 Gala Fairydean Rovers | Football League - Lowland League |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Gala Fairydean Rovers 0-4 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Gala Fairydean Rovers on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gala Fairydean Rovers score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gala Fairydean Rovers | 1.7 | 1.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 2.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gala Fairydean Rovers sit 28th in Football League - Lowland League (3 points from 5 matches) and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic sit 9th (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 12 |
| 28 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Gala Fairydean Rovers.
- Where and when is Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic played?
- Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic is played on September 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Netherdale Football Ground, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 25, 2026Auchinleck Talbot6-0Dalbeattie Star
- Jul 25, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1-2East Stirlingshire
- Jul 25, 2026Linlithgow Rose1-1Civil Service Strollers
- Jul 25, 2026Lochee United1-1Berwick Rangers
- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
- Jul 25, 2026Stirling University0-1Broxburn Athletic
- Jul 25, 2026Bo'ness United1-2Tranent Juniors
- Jul 25, 2026Cowdenbeath0-1Gala Fairydean Rovers