Gamo Chencha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Welwalo Adigrat Uni the favourite at 41%, against 36% for a draw and 23% for Gamo Chencha. The most likely score is 0-0. If Welwalo Adigrat Uni wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gamo Chencha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Gamo Chencha (1,443) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni (1,482).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gamo Chencha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gamo Chencha
Not enough data to predict the Gamo Chencha lineup.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
4-3-3- 14S. Haftey
- 18D. Gebru
- 9H. Konkoni
- 10F. Solomon
- 2N. Gebremedhin
- 20M. Mesfin
- 16K. Wondimu
- 23E. Hailemariam
- 27B. Beyene
- 24S. Berhe
- 30J. Mutakubwa
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 03:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Gamo Chencha have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Welwalo Adigrat Uni have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Welayta Dicha(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al Ahli Tripoli(away) | 1-4 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Ahli Tripoli(home) | 0-4 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Hilal Port Sudan(home) | 2-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Gamo Chencha score 0.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 4; Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamo Chencha | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gamo Chencha sit 18th in Premier League (1 point from 4 matches) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni sit 17th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
A question about Gamo Chencha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gamo Chencha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
- The Footlab AI model makes Welwalo Adigrat Uni the favourite at 41%, against 36% for a draw and 23% for Gamo Chencha.
- Where and when is Gamo Chencha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni played?
- Gamo Chencha vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni is played on January 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 13, 2027Adama KenemavsHalaba Ketema
- Jan 13, 2027Awassa KenemavsBahardar
- Jan 13, 2027Ethiopia BunnavsEthiopia Nigd Bank
- Jan 13, 2027Kedus GiorgisvsMekelakeya
- Jan 13, 2027Sidama BunnavsFasil Ketema
- Jan 13, 2027Mebrat HaylvsEthiopian Medhin
- Jan 13, 2027Sheger KetemavsHadiya Hosaena
- Jan 13, 2027Negelle ArsivsWelayta Dicha