Match

Awassa Kenema vs Bahardar: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hawassa Stadium, Hawassa

Awassa KenemaBahardar

The Footlab AI model makes Bahardar the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 28% for Awassa Kenema. The most likely score is 0-0. If Bahardar wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Awassa Kenema vs Bahardar?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Awassa Kenema (1,528) and Bahardar (1,563).

28%34%38%
Awassa Kenema winDrawBahardar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Awassa Kenema vs Bahardar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Awassa Kenema

4-3-3
  1. 9G. Kebede
  2. 11T. Hefamo
  3. 20S. Gacho
  1. 18S. Bekele
  2. 8B. Yared
  3. 18D. Taddese
  1. 2A. Demissie
  2. 12B. Tadele
  3. 6W. Maereg
  4. 4S. Wodessa
  1. 22S. Habtamu

Bahardar

Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:20 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Awassa Kenema have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Bahardar have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Awassa Kenema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Gamo Chencha(home)2-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)1-1Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(home)1-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Mekelakeya(home)0-1Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Adama Kenema(home)2-3Premier League
Bahardar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Fasil Ketema(away)2-2Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Welayta Dicha(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Halaba Ketema(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 3, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away)2-2Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Awassa Kenema win, 3 draws, 2 Bahardar wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 21, 2026Awassa Kenema 0-0 BahardarPremier League
Jan 25, 2026Bahardar 0-0 Awassa KenemaPremier League
Jun 16, 2025Bahardar 0-3 Awassa KenemaPremier League
Jan 8, 2025Awassa Kenema 0-1 BahardarPremier League
Jun 27, 2024Awassa Kenema 1-1 BahardarPremier League
Dec 8, 2023Bahardar 2-1 Awassa KenemaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Awassa Kenema vs Bahardar on Jun 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Awassa Kenema score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bahardar score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Awassa Kenema0.71.048/154/15
Bahardar0.90.965/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Awassa Kenema sit 11th in Premier League (5 points from 4 matches) and Bahardar sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Bahardar4211647
11Awassa Kenema4121445

A question about Awassa Kenema vs Bahardar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Awassa Kenema vs Bahardar?
The Footlab AI model makes Bahardar the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 28% for Awassa Kenema.
Where and when is Awassa Kenema vs Bahardar played?
Awassa Kenema vs Bahardar is played on January 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hawassa Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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