GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town: result 1-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueChampionship Round - 1Kick-off on February 2, 2024 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Essity Stadium, Y Fflint / Flint, Flintshire
Full time
What was the result of GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town?
GAP Connah S Quay FC and Caernarfon Town drew 1-1 on February 2, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 22′A. DaviesCaernarfon Town
- 75′R. HarringtonGAP Connah S Quay FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GAP Connah S Quay FC have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | Penybont(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2023 | The New Saints(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Newtown AFC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Flint Town United(away) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | Cardiff MET(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2023 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2023 | The New Saints(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 GAP Connah S Quay FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Caernarfon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 6-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2023 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 4-1 Caernarfon Town | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Caernarfon Town 0-4 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
| Nov 18, 2022 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 3-3 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Caernarfon Town 0-2 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2021 | Caernarfon Town 0-1 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town on Oct 27, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
GAP Connah S Quay FC score 2.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.7 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | 2.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 4th in Premier League (9 points from 4 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy