GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town: result 3-1 and analysis
Premier League1st Phase - 7Kick-off on October 6, 2020 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Essity Stadium, Y Fflint / Flint, Flintshire
Full time
What was the result of GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town?
GAP Connah S Quay FC won 3-1 on October 6, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 19′Cai Llywelyn JonesCaernarfon Town
- 46′P. FarquharsonGAP Connah S Quay FC
- 51′M. WildeGAP Connah S Quay FC
- 78′P. FarquharsonGAP Connah S Quay FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GAP Connah S Quay FC have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2020 | Cefn Druids AFC(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2020 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Penybont(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2020 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2020 | Cardiff MET(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2020 | Flint Town United(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2020 | The New Saints(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Barry Town(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2020 | Newtown AFC(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 GAP Connah S Quay FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Caernarfon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2020 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 4-0 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2019 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 4-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2019 | Caernarfon Town 0-0 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2019 | Caernarfon Town 1-0 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2019 | Caernarfon Town 1-2 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Welsh Cup |
| Feb 8, 2019 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 6-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town on Feb 14, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
GAP Connah S Quay FC score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 4th in Premier League (9 points from 4 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy