Gazalkent vs FarDu: prediction and stats
Pro League ARegular Season - 17Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Gazalkent the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for FarDu. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gazalkent vs FarDu?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Gazalkent (1,613) and FarDu (1,590).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gazalkent have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; FarDu have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kattaqurgon(away) | 4-2 | Pro League A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Olimpik-Mobiuz(home) | 0-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BuxDu(away) | 3-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Respublika FA(away) | 7-0 | Pro League A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Aral(home) | 0-2 | Pro League A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shortan(home) | 3-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jayxun(away) | 0-0 | Pro League A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pakhtakor II(home) | 5-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Qiziriq(home) | 5-1 | Pro League A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Yaypan(away) | 1-0 | Pro League A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Gazalkent win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FarDu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | FarDu 2-2 Gazalkent | Pro League A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gazalkent score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FarDu score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gazalkent | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| FarDu | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gazalkent sit 8th in Pro League A (27 points from 16 matches) and FarDu sit 4th (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FarDu | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 29 |
| 6 | Gazalkent | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 15 |
| 7 | FarDu | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 13 |
| 8 | Gazalkent | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 20 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gazalkent vs FarDu?
- The Footlab model makes Gazalkent the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for FarDu.
- Where and when is Gazalkent vs FarDu played?
- Gazalkent vs FarDu is played on August 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Pro League A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.