Gazelec FC Ajaccio vs Estac Troyes: result 1-0 and analysis
Coupe de France16th FinalsKick-off on January 22, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ange Casanova, Ajaccio
Full time
What was the result of Gazelec FC Ajaccio vs Estac Troyes?
Gazelec FC Ajaccio won 1-0 on January 22, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 60′M. CollorédoGazelec FC Ajaccio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gazelec FC Ajaccio have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Estac Troyes have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2012 | Bayonne(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Jan 8, 2012 | Toulouse(home) | 1-0 | Coupe de France |
| Dec 21, 2011 | Epinal(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Dec 17, 2011 | Paris FC(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Calvi(home) | 3-0 | Coupe de France |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2012 | Angers(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 14, 2012 | Arles(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 7, 2012 | Caen(away) | 4-2 | Coupe de France |
| Dec 20, 2011 | Boulogne(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 16, 2011 | Reims(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Gazelec FC Ajaccio score 2.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Estac Troyes score 1.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gazelec FC Ajaccio | 2.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Estac Troyes | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy