Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
The Footlab model makes Samsunspor the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Gaziantep FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor?
Samsunspor starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (2,038 vs 1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gaziantep FK have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Samsunspor have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 3-3 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gaziantep FK win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Samsunspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Samsunspor 0-0 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Gaziantep FK 2-2 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Samsunspor 2-1 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Gaziantep FK 0-1 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Gaziantep FK 1-1 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Samsunspor 1-2 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Samsunspor vs Gaziantep FK on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gaziantep FK score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Samsunspor score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep FK | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Samsunspor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gaziantep FK sit 6th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Samsunspor sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Samsunspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Gaziantep FK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor?
- The Footlab model makes Samsunspor the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Gaziantep FK.
- Where and when is Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor played?
- Gaziantep FK vs Samsunspor is played on May 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Gaziantep Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.