Erzurumspor FK vs Başakşehir: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum
The Footlab model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Erzurumspor FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erzurumspor FK vs Başakşehir?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Erzurumspor FK (1,952) and Başakşehir (2,040).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erzurumspor FK have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Başakşehir have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 0-4 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amed(away) | 0-3 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Erzurumspor FK win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Başakşehir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2021 | Erzurumspor FK 1-2 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Jan 6, 2021 | Başakşehir 1-0 Erzurumspor FK | Süper Lig |
| Feb 9, 2019 | Başakşehir 1-1 Erzurumspor FK | Süper Lig |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Erzurumspor FK 0-1 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Erzurumspor FK vs Başakşehir on Apr 29, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Erzurumspor FK score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Başakşehir score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erzurumspor FK | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Başakşehir | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erzurumspor FK sit 18th in Süper Lig (0 points from 2 matches) and Başakşehir sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Başakşehir | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 18 | Erzurumspor FK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erzurumspor FK vs Başakşehir?
- The Footlab model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Erzurumspor FK.
- Where and when is Erzurumspor FK vs Başakşehir played?
- Erzurumspor FK vs Başakşehir is played on May 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.