Gazte Berriak vs Subiza: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Gazte Berriak the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Subiza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gazte Berriak vs Subiza?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Gazte Berriak have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Subiza have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Izarra(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 17, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 9, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Peña Sport(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Subiza | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 46 | 31 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gazte Berriak vs Subiza?
- The Footlab model makes Gazte Berriak the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Subiza.
- Where and when is Gazte Berriak vs Subiza played?
- Gazte Berriak vs Subiza is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.