Geestemünde vs Schwachhausen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 18Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, Bremerhaven
The Footlab model makes Schwachhausen the favourite at 41%, against 19% for a draw and 40% for Geestemünde. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geestemünde vs Schwachhausen?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Geestemünde (1,692) and Schwachhausen (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geestemünde have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Schwachhausen have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Geestemünde(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Vahr-Blockdiek(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2023 | OSC Bremerhaven(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Geestemünde win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Schwachhausen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwachhausen 3-2 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Schwachhausen 3-1 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Geestemünde 4-2 Schwachhausen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 8, 2022 | Schwachhausen 1-2 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Geestemünde 3-1 Schwachhausen | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Schwachhausen vs Geestemünde on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Geestemünde score 2.1 and concede 3.6 goals per match over their last 15; Schwachhausen score 1.9 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 87% probability of over 2.5 goals and 84% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geestemünde | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Schwachhausen | 1.9 | 3.1 | 0 | 11/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geestemünde sit 13th in Oberliga - Bremen (1 points from 3 matches) and Schwachhausen sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Schwachhausen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 13 | Geestemünde | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geestemünde vs Schwachhausen?
- The Footlab model makes Schwachhausen the favourite at 41%, against 19% for a draw and 40% for Geestemünde.
- Where and when is Geestemünde vs Schwachhausen played?
- Geestemünde vs Schwachhausen is played on February 14, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 87% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.