Werder Bremen III vs Geestemünde: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 19Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Weserstadion Platz 13, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Werder Bremen III the favourite at 50%, against 19% for a draw and 32% for Geestemünde. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Werder Bremen III vs Geestemünde?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Werder Bremen III (1,660) and Geestemünde (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Werder Bremen III have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Geestemünde have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vatan Sport(home) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Oberneuland(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Sebaldsbrück(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Werder Bremen III win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Geestemünde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Werder Bremen III 5-1 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Geestemünde 3-1 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Werder Bremen III 1-2 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Geestemünde 3-3 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Werder Bremen III 1-2 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Geestemünde 5-0 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen III vs Geestemünde on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Werder Bremen III score 2.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Geestemünde score 2.1 and concede 3.6. The model gives a 87% probability of over 2.5 goals and 84% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen III | 2.5 | 2.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Geestemünde | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Werder Bremen III sit 16th in Oberliga - Bremen (0 points from 3 matches) and Geestemünde sit 13th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Geestemünde | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 1 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen III | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen III vs Geestemünde?
- The Footlab model makes Werder Bremen III the favourite at 50%, against 19% for a draw and 32% for Geestemünde.
- Where and when is Werder Bremen III vs Geestemünde played?
- Werder Bremen III vs Geestemünde is played on February 20, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Weserstadion Platz 13, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 87% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.