Geestemünde vs Werder Bremen III: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 4Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, Bremerhaven
The Footlab model makes Geestemünde the favourite at 48%, against 18% for a draw and 34% for Werder Bremen III. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geestemünde vs Werder Bremen III?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Geestemünde (1,695) and Werder Bremen III (1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geestemünde have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Werder Bremen III have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vatan Sport(home) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Oberneuland(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Sebaldsbrück(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Geestemünde win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Werder Bremen III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Werder Bremen III 5-1 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Geestemünde 3-1 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Werder Bremen III 1-2 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Geestemünde 3-3 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Werder Bremen III 1-2 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Geestemünde 5-0 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen III vs Geestemünde on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Geestemünde score 2.1 and concede 3.6 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen III score 2.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 89% probability of over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geestemünde | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Werder Bremen III | 2.5 | 2.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geestemünde sit 12th in Oberliga - Bremen (1 points from 2 matches) and Werder Bremen III sit 16th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Geestemünde | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen III | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geestemünde vs Werder Bremen III?
- The Footlab model makes Geestemünde the favourite at 48%, against 18% for a draw and 34% for Werder Bremen III.
- Where and when is Geestemünde vs Werder Bremen III played?
- Geestemünde vs Werder Bremen III is played on August 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 89% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.