Aumund-Vegesack vs Brinkumer SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Vegesack, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Brinkumer SV the favourite at 66%, against 16% for a draw and 19% for Aumund-Vegesack. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aumund-Vegesack vs Brinkumer SV?
Brinkumer SV starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,823 vs 1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aumund-Vegesack have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Brinkumer SV have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Leher TS(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(home) | 5-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Grohn(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Brinkumer SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eiche Horn(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Woltmershausen(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemelingen(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 9, 2026 | BTS Neustadt(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aumund-Vegesack win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Brinkumer SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack 1-3 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Brinkumer SV 4-0 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 11, 2025 | Aumund-Vegesack 3-0 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Brinkumer SV 1-5 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Brinkumer SV 2-1 Aumund-Vegesack | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Aumund-Vegesack 6-3 Brinkumer SV | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Aumund-Vegesack vs Brinkumer SV on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aumund-Vegesack score 2.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Brinkumer SV score 3.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 87% probability of over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aumund-Vegesack | 2.5 | 2.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Brinkumer SV | 3.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aumund-Vegesack sit 6th in Oberliga - Bremen (6 points from 3 matches) and Brinkumer SV sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brinkumer SV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Aumund-Vegesack | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aumund-Vegesack vs Brinkumer SV?
- The Footlab model makes Brinkumer SV the favourite at 66%, against 16% for a draw and 19% for Aumund-Vegesack.
- Where and when is Aumund-Vegesack vs Brinkumer SV played?
- Aumund-Vegesack vs Brinkumer SV is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vegesack, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 87% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.