Gela vs Calcio Avola: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Vincenzo Presti, Gela
The Footlab AI model makes Gela the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Calcio Avola. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gela wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,795 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gela vs Calcio Avola?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Gela (1,728) and Calcio Avola (1,763).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gela vs Calcio Avola
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gela
Not enough data to predict the Gela lineup.
Calcio Avola
Not enough data to predict the Calcio Avola lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 05:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gela have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Calcio Avola have 6, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Modica(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Licata(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vibonese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Milazzo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Siracusa(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 25, 2026 | AC Palermo(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Enna(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Modica(home) | 0-4 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Gela score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Calcio Avola score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gela | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Calcio Avola | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 4/11 | 5/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gela sit 15th in Serie D - Girone I (7 points from 10 matches) and Calcio Avola sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Calcio Avola | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 15 | Gela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Gela vs Calcio Avola?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gela vs Calcio Avola?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gela the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Calcio Avola.
- Where and when is Gela vs Calcio Avola played?
- Gela vs Calcio Avola is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vincenzo Presti, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.