Vigor Lamezia vs Gela: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Guido D'Ippolito, Lamezia Terme
The Footlab AI model makes Vigor Lamezia the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Gela. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vigor Lamezia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,234 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vigor Lamezia vs Gela?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Vigor Lamezia (1,688) and Gela (1,719).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vigor Lamezia vs Gela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vigor Lamezia
Not enough data to predict the Vigor Lamezia lineup.
Gela
Not enough data to predict the Gela lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 02:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vigor Lamezia have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Gela have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Milazzo(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 1, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Enna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Calcio Avola(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Modica(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Licata(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vibonese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Milazzo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Vigor Lamezia win, 0 draws, 1 Gela win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia 2-0 Gela | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Gela 3-0 Vigor Lamezia | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: Vigor Lamezia vs Gela on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vigor Lamezia score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gela score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vigor Lamezia | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Gela | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vigor Lamezia sit 16th in Serie D - Girone I (8 points from 11 matches) and Gela sit 8th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 16 | Vigor Lamezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Vigor Lamezia vs Gela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vigor Lamezia vs Gela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vigor Lamezia the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Gela.
- Where and when is Vigor Lamezia vs Gela played?
- Vigor Lamezia vs Gela is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.