Gela vs Licata: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Vincenzo Presti, Gela
The Footlab AI model makes Gela the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Licata. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gela wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gela vs Licata?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Gela (1,659) and Licata (1,659).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gela vs Licata
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gela
Not enough data to predict the Gela lineup.
Licata
Not enough data to predict the Licata lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gela have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Licata have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Milazzo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Enna(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | AC Palermo(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Trapani 1905(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Enna(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ragusa(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Gela score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Licata score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gela | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Licata | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gela sit 14th in Serie D - Girone I (5 points from 7 matches) and Licata sit 4th (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Licata | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 14 | Gela | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
A question about Gela vs Licata?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gela vs Licata?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gela the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Licata.
- Where and when is Gela vs Licata played?
- Gela vs Licata is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vincenzo Presti, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.