Sambiase vs Nissa: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Guido D'Ippolito, Lamezia Terme
The Footlab AI model makes Sambiase the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Nissa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sambiase wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,588 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sambiase vs Nissa?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Sambiase (1,773) and Nissa (1,792).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sambiase vs Nissa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sambiase
Not enough data to predict the Sambiase lineup.
Nissa
Not enough data to predict the Nissa lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sambiase have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Nissa have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trapani 1905(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Licata(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Milazzo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Modica(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ragusa(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Igea Virtus(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vibonese(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Calcio Avola(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Trapani 1905(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Sambiase wins, 3 draws, 1 Nissa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sambiase 1-1 Nissa | Serie D - Girone I |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Nissa 0-0 Sambiase | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Nissa 2-1 Sambiase | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Sambiase 1-1 Nissa | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Sambiase score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nissa score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sambiase | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Nissa | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sambiase sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone I (16 points from 7 matches) and Nissa sit 9th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sambiase | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 | Nissa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Sambiase vs Nissa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sambiase vs Nissa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sambiase the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Nissa.
- Where and when is Sambiase vs Nissa played?
- Sambiase vs Nissa is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.