Gela vs Siracusa: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Vincenzo Presti, Gela
The Footlab AI model makes Siracusa the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Gela. The most likely score is 1-1. If Siracusa wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,862 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gela vs Siracusa?
Siracusa starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,810 vs 1,670).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gela vs Siracusa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gela
Not enough data to predict the Gela lineup.
Siracusa
Not enough data to predict the Siracusa lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gela have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Siracusa have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vibonese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Milazzo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Enna(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Licata(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Milazzo(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Modica(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Gela wins, 0 draws, 1 Siracusa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Siracusa 2-1 Gela | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Gela score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Siracusa score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gela | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Siracusa | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gela sit 15th in Serie D - Girone I (6 points from 8 matches) and Siracusa sit 12th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Siracusa | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 15 | Gela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Gela vs Siracusa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gela vs Siracusa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Siracusa the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Gela.
- Where and when is Gela vs Siracusa played?
- Gela vs Siracusa is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vincenzo Presti, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.