Licata vs CastrumFavara: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Saraceno, Ravanusa
The Footlab AI model makes Licata the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for CastrumFavara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Licata wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Licata vs CastrumFavara?
On Elo ratings, Licata has 1,602 points and CastrumFavara 1,604.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Licata vs CastrumFavara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Licata
Not enough data to predict the Licata lineup.
CastrumFavara
Not enough data to predict the CastrumFavara lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Licata have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; CastrumFavara have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | AC Palermo(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Trapani 1905(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Enna(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ragusa(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Igea Virtus(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calcio Avola(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Modica(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Licata(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Licata win, 2 draws, 1 CastrumFavara win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | CastrumFavara 1-1 Licata | Serie D - Girone I |
| May 11, 2025 | CastrumFavara 2-0 Licata | Serie D - Relegation - Play-offs |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CastrumFavara 0-0 Licata | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Licata 2-1 CastrumFavara | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: CastrumFavara vs Licata on Sep 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Licata score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CastrumFavara score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Licata | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| CastrumFavara | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Licata sit 4th in Serie D - Girone I (14 points from 7 matches) and CastrumFavara sit 12th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Licata | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 12 | CastrumFavara | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Licata vs CastrumFavara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Licata vs CastrumFavara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Licata the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for CastrumFavara.
- Where and when is Licata vs CastrumFavara played?
- Licata vs CastrumFavara is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Saraceno, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.