Genoa vs Novara: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 20, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
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What was the result of Genoa vs Novara?
Genoa won 1-0 on November 20, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 86′Miguel VelosoGenoa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Genoa have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Novara have 1, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2011 | Fiorentina(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2011 | AS Roma(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Juventus(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2011 | Lecce(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2011 | Parma(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2011 | AS Roma(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 30, 2011 | Lecce(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2011 | Robur Siena(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 23, 2011 | Udinese(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2011 | Bologna(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Genoa score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 1.2 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Novara | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0 | 7/10 | 6/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy