Match

Gerlachov vs Liptovský Mikuláš: prediction and stats

CupRound of 128Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión Gerlachov, Gerlachov

GerlachovLiptovský Mikuláš

The Footlab model makes Liptovský Mikuláš the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Gerlachov. The most likely score is 0-3.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gerlachov vs Liptovský Mikuláš?

Liptovský Mikuláš starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,525).

Gerlachov win6 %
Draw11 %
Liptovský Mikuláš win83 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Gerlachov have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Liptovský Mikuláš have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gerlachov
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 27, 2025Spišské Podhradie(home)2-2Cup
Jul 27, 2025Kľušov(away)9-2Cup
Aug 28, 2024Jasenov(away)1-3Cup
Aug 7, 2024Družstevník Čirč(away)5-2Cup
Aug 10, 2022Družstevník Borov(away)2-2Cup
Liptovský Mikuláš
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Humenné(away)0-12. liga
Aug 14, 2026Lokomotíva Zvolen(home)2-22. liga
Aug 8, 2026Tatran Prešov(away)1-12. liga
Jul 31, 2026Galanta(home)2-02. liga
Jul 25, 2026MFK Bytča(away)5-02. liga

How many goals should we expect?

Gerlachov score 2.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 10; Liptovský Mikuláš score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gerlachov2.91.726/108/10
Liptovský Mikuláš2.21.159/1510/15

Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gerlachov vs Liptovský Mikuláš?
The Footlab model makes Liptovský Mikuláš the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Gerlachov.
Where and when is Gerlachov vs Liptovský Mikuláš played?
Gerlachov vs Liptovský Mikuláš is played on August 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión Gerlachov, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gerlachov and Liptovský Mikuláš

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