Gerlachov vs Liptovský Mikuláš: prediction and stats
CupRound of 128Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión Gerlachov, Gerlachov
The Footlab model makes Liptovský Mikuláš the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Gerlachov. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gerlachov vs Liptovský Mikuláš?
Liptovský Mikuláš starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,525).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Gerlachov have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Liptovský Mikuláš have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2025 | Spišské Podhradie(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Kľušov(away) | 9-2 | Cup |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Jasenov(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Družstevník Čirč(away) | 5-2 | Cup |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Družstevník Borov(away) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Humenné(away) | 0-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lokomotíva Zvolen(home) | 2-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tatran Prešov(away) | 1-1 | 2. liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Galanta(home) | 2-0 | 2. liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MFK Bytča(away) | 5-0 | 2. liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Gerlachov score 2.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 10; Liptovský Mikuláš score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerlachov | 2.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/10 | 8/10 |
| Liptovský Mikuláš | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gerlachov vs Liptovský Mikuláš?
- The Footlab model makes Liptovský Mikuláš the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Gerlachov.
- Where and when is Gerlachov vs Liptovský Mikuláš played?
- Gerlachov vs Liptovský Mikuláš is played on August 26, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión Gerlachov, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Aug 18, 2026Družstevník Bešeňov0-2Nové Zámky
- Aug 18, 2026Starý Smokovec0-2Poprad
- Aug 18, 2026Partizán Osrblie1-2Oravské Veselé
- Aug 18, 2026Spišské Podhradie0-5Ružomberok
- Aug 18, 2026Slovan Giraltovce2-6Partizán Bardejov