Germania Egestorf vs Spelle-Venhaus: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 10Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Joyetech-Arena, Barsinghausen
The Footlab model makes Germania Egestorf the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Spelle-Venhaus. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Germania Egestorf vs Spelle-Venhaus?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Germania Egestorf (1,782) and Spelle-Venhaus (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Germania Egestorf have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Spelle-Venhaus have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wilhelmshaven(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BW Lohne(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Todesfelde(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 18, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BW Lohne(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Borussia Hildesheim(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 20, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Germania Egestorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Spelle-Venhaus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Germania Egestorf 1-0 Spelle-Venhaus | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Spelle-Venhaus 0-2 Germania Egestorf | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Spelle-Venhaus 0-1 Germania Egestorf | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Germania Egestorf 2-1 Spelle-Venhaus | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Apr 19, 2023 | Spelle-Venhaus 1-0 Germania Egestorf | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Germania Egestorf 1-0 Spelle-Venhaus | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
Last archived meeting: Germania Egestorf vs Spelle-Venhaus on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Germania Egestorf score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Spelle-Venhaus score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germania Egestorf | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Spelle-Venhaus | 2.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Germania Egestorf sit 15th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (1 points from 3 matches) and Spelle-Venhaus sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spelle-Venhaus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 15 | Germania Egestorf | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Germania Egestorf vs Spelle-Venhaus?
- The Footlab model makes Germania Egestorf the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Spelle-Venhaus.
- Where and when is Germania Egestorf vs Spelle-Venhaus played?
- Germania Egestorf vs Spelle-Venhaus is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Joyetech-Arena, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.