Spelle-Venhaus vs BW Lohne: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 17Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Getränke Hoffmann Stadion, Spelle
The Footlab model makes Spelle-Venhaus the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for BW Lohne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spelle-Venhaus vs BW Lohne?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Spelle-Venhaus (1,799) and BW Lohne (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spelle-Venhaus have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; BW Lohne have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 18, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BW Lohne(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Borussia Hildesheim(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 20, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nordhorn(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Spelle-Venhaus(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 16, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 9, 2026 | Schöningen(home) | 4-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Spelle-Venhaus win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 BW Lohne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | BW Lohne 1-3 Spelle-Venhaus | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Feb 17, 2024 | BW Lohne 3-1 Spelle-Venhaus | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Spelle-Venhaus 0-1 BW Lohne | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 21, 2021 | BW Lohne 1-1 Spelle-Venhaus | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Spelle-Venhaus 0-2 BW Lohne | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Oct 16, 2020 | Spelle-Venhaus 1-1 BW Lohne | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
Last archived meeting: BW Lohne vs Spelle-Venhaus on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spelle-Venhaus score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; BW Lohne score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spelle-Venhaus | 2.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| BW Lohne | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spelle-Venhaus sit 2nd in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (7 points from 3 matches) and BW Lohne sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spelle-Venhaus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | BW Lohne | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spelle-Venhaus vs BW Lohne?
- The Footlab model makes Spelle-Venhaus the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for BW Lohne.
- Where and when is Spelle-Venhaus vs BW Lohne played?
- Spelle-Venhaus vs BW Lohne is played on November 27, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Getränke Hoffmann Stadion, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.