Germania Egestorf vs Verden 04: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 28Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Joyetech-Arena, Barsinghausen
The Footlab model makes Germania Egestorf the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Verden 04. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Germania Egestorf vs Verden 04?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Germania Egestorf (1,782) and Verden 04 (1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Germania Egestorf have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Verden 04 have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wilhelmshaven(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BW Lohne(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Todesfelde(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Drochtersen/Assel II(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hemmingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vorsfelde(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Germania Egestorf win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Verden 04 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Egestorf 2-0 Verden 04 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Verden 04 1-5 Germania Egestorf | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Verden 04 2-2 Germania Egestorf | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Germania Egestorf 3-2 Verden 04 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
Last archived meeting: Germania Egestorf vs Verden 04 on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Germania Egestorf score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Verden 04 score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germania Egestorf | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Verden 04 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Germania Egestorf sit 15th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (1 points from 3 matches) and Verden 04 sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Verden 04 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Germania Egestorf | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Germania Egestorf vs Verden 04?
- The Footlab model makes Germania Egestorf the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Verden 04.
- Where and when is Germania Egestorf vs Verden 04 played?
- Germania Egestorf vs Verden 04 is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Joyetech-Arena, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.