Verden 04 vs Spelle-Venhaus: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiedersachsenNiedersachsen - 29Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)A-Platz Hubertushain, Verden (Aller)
The Footlab model makes Spelle-Venhaus the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Verden 04. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verden 04 vs Spelle-Venhaus?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Verden 04 (1,732) and Spelle-Venhaus (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verden 04 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Spelle-Venhaus have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Drochtersen/Assel II(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hemmingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vorsfelde(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Egestorf(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Rehden(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 18, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BW Lohne(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Borussia Hildesheim(home) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 20, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Verden 04 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Spelle-Venhaus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Spelle-Venhaus 0-0 Verden 04 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Verden 04 4-0 Spelle-Venhaus | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| May 18, 2025 | Verden 04 1-2 Spelle-Venhaus | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Spelle-Venhaus 3-0 Verden 04 | Oberliga - Niedersachsen |
Last archived meeting: Spelle-Venhaus vs Verden 04 on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Verden 04 score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Spelle-Venhaus score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verden 04 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Spelle-Venhaus | 2.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verden 04 sit 8th in Oberliga - Niedersachsen (4 points from 3 matches) and Spelle-Venhaus sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spelle-Venhaus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Verden 04 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verden 04 vs Spelle-Venhaus?
- The Footlab model makes Spelle-Venhaus the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Verden 04.
- Where and when is Verden 04 vs Spelle-Venhaus played?
- Verden 04 vs Spelle-Venhaus is played on May 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at A-Platz Hubertushain, in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.