Germany vs Italy: result 2-2 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipQuarter-finalsKick-off on July 2, 2016 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
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What was the result of Germany vs Italy?
Germany and Italy drew 2-2 on July 2, 2016.
Goalscorers
- -1′J. HectorGermany (pen.)
- -1′J. BoatengGermany (pen.)
- -1′J. KimmichGermany (pen.)
- -1′M. HummelsGermany (pen.)
- -1′J. DraxlerGermany (pen.)
- -1′T. KroosGermany (pen.)
- -1′M. De SciglioItaly (pen.)
- -1′M. ParoloItaly (pen.)
- -1′Emanuele GiaccheriniItaly (pen.)
- -1′Andrea BarzagliItaly (pen.)
- -1′L. InsigneItaly (pen.)
- 65′M. ÖzilGermany
- 78′L. BonucciItaly (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Germany have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Italy have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2016 | Slovakia(home) | 3-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 21, 2016 | Northern Ireland(away) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 16, 2016 | Poland(home) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 12, 2016 | Ukraine(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jul 13, 2014 | Argentina(home) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2016 | Spain(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 22, 2016 | Rep. Of Ireland(home) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 17, 2016 | Sweden(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 13, 2016 | Belgium(away) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 24, 2014 | Uruguay(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Germany win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Italy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2012 | Germany 1-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Germany score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 2.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Italy | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Germany sit 1st in Euro Championship (7 points from 3 matches) and Italy sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy