Germany vs Italy: result 5-2 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 4Kick-off on June 14, 2022 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
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What was the result of Germany vs Italy?
Germany won 5-2 on June 14, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 10′J. KimmichGermany
- 45′İ. GündoğanGermany (pen.)
- 51′T. MüllerGermany
- 68′T. WernerGermany
- 69′T. WernerGermany
- 78′W. GnontoItaly
- 90′A. BastoniItaly
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Germany have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Italy have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2022 | Hungary(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 7, 2022 | England(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 4, 2022 | Italy(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Netherlands(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Israel(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2022 | England(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 7, 2022 | Hungary(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 4, 2022 | Germany(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 1, 2022 | Argentina(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Türkiye(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Germany win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Italy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2022 | Italy 1-1 Germany | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 2, 2016 | Germany 2-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
| Jun 28, 2012 | Germany 1-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Germany score 2.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 2.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Italy | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy