Italy vs Germany: result 1-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 1Kick-off on June 4, 2022 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
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What was the result of Italy vs Germany?
Italy and Germany drew 1-1 on June 4, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 70′L. PellegriniItaly
- 73′J. KimmichGermany
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Italy have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Germany have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2022 | Argentina(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Türkiye(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2022 | FYR Macedonia(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 15, 2021 | Northern Ireland(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 12, 2021 | Switzerland(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | Netherlands(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Israel(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Armenia(away) | 4-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 11, 2021 | Liechtenstein(home) | 9-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 11, 2021 | FYR Macedonia(away) | 4-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Italy win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Germany win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2016 | Germany 2-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
| Jun 28, 2012 | Germany 1-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Italy score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Germany score 3.2 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Germany | 3.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy