Germany vs Mexico: result 0-1 and analysis
World CupGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on June 17, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
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What was the result of Germany vs Mexico?
Mexico won 0-1 on June 17, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 35′H. LozanoMexico
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Germany have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Mexico have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2018 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2018 | Austria(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2018 | Brazil(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 23, 2018 | Spain(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 14, 2017 | France(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2018 | Denmark(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2018 | Scotland(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| May 29, 2018 | Wales(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2018 | Croatia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Iceland(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Germany win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Mexico win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2017 | Germany 4-1 Mexico | Confederations Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Germany score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mexico score 1.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 2.3 | 1.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Mexico | 1.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Germany sit 1st in World Cup (3 points from 1 matches) and Mexico sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 1 | Germany | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy