Gheorgheni vs Aerostar Bacau: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 · Matchday 13Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Viitorul, Gheorgheni
The Footlab AI model makes Gheorgheni the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Aerostar Bacau. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gheorgheni wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gheorgheni vs Aerostar Bacau?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Gheorgheni (1,460) and Aerostar Bacau (1,515).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gheorgheni vs Aerostar Bacau
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gheorgheni
Not enough data to predict the Gheorgheni lineup.
Aerostar Bacau
4-3-3- CC. Vraciu
- AA. Popescu
- AA. Tofan
- DD. Burlacu
- VV. Danale
- CC. Ardei
- AA. Alecsandru
- BB. Oteliță
- DDarius Radu Mureșan
- AA. Bobaru
- LL. Cebotari
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 08:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gheorgheni have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Aerostar Bacau have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bradul Putna(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | CSM Adjud(away) | 1-4 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | CSM Adjud(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | FC Bacău II(home) | 0-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | USV Iaşi(away) | 3-3 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Târgu Secuiesc(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Gheorgheni win, 2 draws, 1 Aerostar Bacau win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau 2-1 Gheorgheni | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau 2-2 Gheorgheni | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Gheorgheni 4-1 Aerostar Bacau | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Aerostar Bacau 2-2 Gheorgheni | Liga III - Serie 1 |
Last archived meeting: Aerostar Bacau vs Gheorgheni on Sep 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gheorgheni score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aerostar Bacau score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gheorgheni | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Aerostar Bacau | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gheorgheni sit 9th in Liga III - Serie 1 (7 points from 7 matches) and Aerostar Bacau sit 4th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aerostar Bacau | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Gheorgheni | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Gheorgheni vs Aerostar Bacau?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gheorgheni vs Aerostar Bacau?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gheorgheni the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Aerostar Bacau.
- Where and when is Gheorgheni vs Aerostar Bacau played?
- Gheorgheni vs Aerostar Bacau is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Viitorul, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.