Gheorgheni vs USV Iaşi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Viitorul, Gheorgheni
The Footlab model makes Gheorgheni the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for USV Iaşi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gheorgheni vs USV Iaşi?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Gheorgheni (1,380) and USV Iaşi (1,380).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gheorgheni have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; USV Iaşi have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | ASA Targu Mures(home) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ(home) | 5-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Bradul Putna(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Bacău II(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Gheorgheni win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 USV Iaşi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Gheorgheni 2-0 USV Iaşi | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Gheorgheni 0-1 USV Iaşi | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 10, 2025 | USV Iaşi 1-1 Gheorgheni | Liga III - Serie 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gheorgheni vs USV Iaşi on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gheorgheni score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; USV Iaşi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gheorgheni | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| USV Iaşi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gheorgheni sit 7th in Liga III - Serie 1 (34 points from 7 matches) and USV Iaşi sit 3rd (37 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | USV Iaşi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 37 |
| 7 | Gheorgheni | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gheorgheni vs USV Iaşi?
- The Footlab model makes Gheorgheni the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for USV Iaşi.
- Where and when is Gheorgheni vs USV Iaşi played?
- Gheorgheni vs USV Iaşi is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Viitorul, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.