Gheorgheni vs USV Iaşi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 · Matchday 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Viitorul, Gheorgheni
The Footlab AI model makes USV Iaşi the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Gheorgheni. The most likely score is 1-1. If USV Iaşi wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gheorgheni vs USV Iaşi?
USV Iaşi starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,560 vs 1,460).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gheorgheni vs USV Iaşi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gheorgheni
Not enough data to predict the Gheorgheni lineup.
USV Iaşi
Not enough data to predict the USV Iaşi lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gheorgheni have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; USV Iaşi have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bradul Putna(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | CSM Adjud(away) | 1-4 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Târgu Secuiesc(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Paşcani(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Aerostar Bacau(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bradul Putna(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Gheorgheni win, 1 draw, 2 USV Iaşi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | USV Iaşi 2-0 Gheorgheni | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Gheorgheni 2-0 USV Iaşi | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Gheorgheni 0-1 USV Iaşi | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 10, 2025 | USV Iaşi 1-1 Gheorgheni | Liga III - Serie 1 |
Last archived meeting: USV Iaşi vs Gheorgheni on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gheorgheni score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; USV Iaşi score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gheorgheni | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| USV Iaşi | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gheorgheni sit 9th in Liga III - Serie 1 (7 points from 7 matches) and USV Iaşi sit 2nd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | USV Iaşi | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 | Gheorgheni | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Gheorgheni vs USV Iaşi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gheorgheni vs USV Iaşi?
- The Footlab AI model makes USV Iaşi the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Gheorgheni.
- Where and when is Gheorgheni vs USV Iaşi played?
- Gheorgheni vs USV Iaşi is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Viitorul, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.