USV Iaşi vs Gheorgheni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 6Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul USV Iași, Iași
The Footlab model makes USV Iaşi the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Gheorgheni. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USV Iaşi vs Gheorgheni?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate USV Iaşi (1,380) and Gheorgheni (1,380).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USV Iaşi have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Gheorgheni have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Bradul Putna(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Bacău II(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | ASA Targu Mures(home) | 0-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ(home) | 5-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | CSM FC Vaslui(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 USV Iaşi win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gheorgheni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Gheorgheni 2-0 USV Iaşi | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Gheorgheni 0-1 USV Iaşi | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 10, 2025 | USV Iaşi 1-1 Gheorgheni | Liga III - Serie 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gheorgheni vs USV Iaşi on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
USV Iaşi score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gheorgheni score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USV Iaşi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Gheorgheni | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USV Iaşi sit 3rd in Liga III - Serie 1 (37 points from 7 matches) and Gheorgheni sit 7th (34 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | USV Iaşi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 37 |
| 7 | Gheorgheni | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USV Iaşi vs Gheorgheni?
- The Footlab model makes USV Iaşi the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Gheorgheni.
- Where and when is USV Iaşi vs Gheorgheni played?
- USV Iaşi vs Gheorgheni is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul USV Iași, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.