Gievenbeck vs Arminia II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 7Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Senger Arena, Münster
The Footlab model makes Gievenbeck the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Arminia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gievenbeck vs Arminia II?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Gievenbeck (1,724) and Arminia II (1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gievenbeck have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Arminia II have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maaslingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 30, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Verl II(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Schermbeck(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Rheine(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sprockhovel(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 30, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Rot Weiss Ahlen(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Gievenbeck win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Arminia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Gievenbeck 3-0 Arminia II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Arminia II 2-5 Gievenbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Gievenbeck vs Arminia II on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gievenbeck score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia II score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gievenbeck | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Arminia II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gievenbeck sit 9th in Oberliga - Westfalen (4 points from 3 matches) and Arminia II sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Arminia II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Gievenbeck | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gievenbeck vs Arminia II?
- The Footlab model makes Gievenbeck the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Arminia II.
- Where and when is Gievenbeck vs Arminia II played?
- Gievenbeck vs Arminia II is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Senger Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 20, 2026MaaslingenvsSprockhovel
- Sep 20, 2026Eintracht RheinevsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen
- Sep 20, 2026Westfalia KinderhausvsPreußen Münster II
- Sep 20, 2026Lippstadt 08vsASC Dortmund
- Sep 20, 2026ErkenschwickvsVictoria Clarholz
- Sep 20, 2026SchermbeckvsVreden
- Sep 20, 2026EnnepetalvsVerl II
- Sep 20, 2026TuS HordelvsHiltrup