Match

Gievenbeck vs Arminia II: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 7Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Senger Arena, Münster

GievenbeckArminia II

The Footlab model makes Gievenbeck the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Arminia II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gievenbeck vs Arminia II?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Gievenbeck (1,724) and Arminia II (1,715).

Gievenbeck win46 %
Draw24 %
Arminia II win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gievenbeck have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Arminia II have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gievenbeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Erkenschwick(home)0-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026Maaslingen(home)3-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Ennepetal(away)1-1Oberliga - Westfalen
May 30, 2026Arminia II(home)3-0Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026Verl II(away)3-3Oberliga - Westfalen
Arminia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Schermbeck(away)4-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 15, 2026Eintracht Rheine(home)1-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 8, 2026Sprockhovel(away)2-2Oberliga - Westfalen
May 30, 2026Gievenbeck(away)0-3Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026Rot Weiss Ahlen(home)2-0Oberliga - Westfalen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Gievenbeck win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Arminia II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Gievenbeck 3-0 Arminia IIOberliga - Westfalen
Dec 14, 2025Arminia II 2-5 GievenbeckOberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: Gievenbeck vs Arminia II on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gievenbeck score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia II score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gievenbeck1.91.6211/1510/15
Arminia II1.71.549/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gievenbeck sit 9th in Oberliga - Westfalen (4 points from 3 matches) and Arminia II sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Arminia II3111754
9Gievenbeck3111434

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gievenbeck vs Arminia II?
The Footlab model makes Gievenbeck the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Arminia II.
Where and when is Gievenbeck vs Arminia II played?
Gievenbeck vs Arminia II is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Senger Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Gievenbeck and Arminia II

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