Match

Arminia II vs ASC Dortmund: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 15Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bezirkssportanlage Rußheide, Bielefeld

Arminia IIASC Dortmund

The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Arminia II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arminia II vs ASC Dortmund?

ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,715).

Arminia II win33 %
Draw23 %
ASC Dortmund win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia II have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; ASC Dortmund have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arminia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Schermbeck(away)4-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 15, 2026Eintracht Rheine(home)1-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 8, 2026Sprockhovel(away)2-2Oberliga - Westfalen
May 30, 2026Gievenbeck(away)0-3Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026Rot Weiss Ahlen(home)2-0Oberliga - Westfalen
ASC Dortmund
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(away)4-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026Vreden(away)2-5Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Maaslingen(away)1-3Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026Ennepetal(away)1-1Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026Vreden(home)1-0Oberliga - Westfalen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Arminia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 ASC Dortmund win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026Arminia II 1-1 ASC DortmundOberliga - Westfalen
Sep 28, 2025ASC Dortmund 3-2 Arminia IIOberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: Arminia II vs ASC Dortmund on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arminia II score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arminia II1.71.549/159/15
ASC Dortmund1.81.5411/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arminia II sit 8th in Oberliga - Westfalen (4 points from 3 matches) and ASC Dortmund sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Arminia II3111754
16ASC Dortmund2002380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arminia II vs ASC Dortmund?
The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Arminia II.
Where and when is Arminia II vs ASC Dortmund played?
Arminia II vs ASC Dortmund is played on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bezirkssportanlage Rußheide, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arminia II and ASC Dortmund

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