Arminia II vs ASC Dortmund: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 15Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bezirkssportanlage Rußheide, Bielefeld
The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Arminia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arminia II vs ASC Dortmund?
ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia II have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; ASC Dortmund have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Schermbeck(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Rheine(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sprockhovel(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 30, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Rot Weiss Ahlen(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Vreden(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Arminia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 ASC Dortmund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Arminia II 1-1 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 28, 2025 | ASC Dortmund 3-2 Arminia II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Arminia II vs ASC Dortmund on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arminia II score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| ASC Dortmund | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arminia II sit 8th in Oberliga - Westfalen (4 points from 3 matches) and ASC Dortmund sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Arminia II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | ASC Dortmund | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arminia II vs ASC Dortmund?
- The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Arminia II.
- Where and when is Arminia II vs ASC Dortmund played?
- Arminia II vs ASC Dortmund is played on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bezirkssportanlage Rußheide, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026MaaslingenvsTuS Hordel
- Nov 29, 2026ErkenschwickvsEintracht Rheine
- Nov 29, 2026GievenbeckvsSchermbeck
- Nov 29, 2026Preußen Münster IIvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen
- Nov 29, 2026Victoria ClarholzvsVreden
- Nov 29, 2026Westfalia KinderhausvsSprockhovel
- Nov 29, 2026EnnepetalvsLippstadt 08
- Nov 29, 2026Verl IIvsHiltrup