Gijón Industrial vs Mosconia: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santa Cruz, Gijón
The Footlab model makes Mosconia the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Gijón Industrial. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gijón Industrial vs Mosconia?
Mosconia starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,777 vs 1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gijón Industrial have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Mosconia have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Colunga(home) | 6-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mosconia(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Siero(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 17, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Navarro(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gijón Industrial win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Mosconia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Mosconia 0-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Gijón Industrial 0-2 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Gijón Industrial 2-1 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Mosconia 0-1 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Mosconia 0-3 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Gijón Industrial 1-2 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Mosconia vs Gijón Industrial on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gijón Industrial score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mosconia score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gijón Industrial | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Mosconia | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gijón Industrial sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (32 points from 34 matches) and Mosconia sit 5th (56 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mosconia | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 27 | 56 |
| 14 | Gijón Industrial | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 57 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gijón Industrial vs Mosconia?
- The Footlab model makes Mosconia the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Gijón Industrial.
- Where and when is Gijón Industrial vs Mosconia played?
- Gijón Industrial vs Mosconia is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Cruz, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.